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Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Markets

  • December 31

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $27.5K · Liquidity $15.5K

  • March 31

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $6K

  • July 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity —

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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