Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Markets
Donald Trump
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $5.4M · Liquidity $723.7K
UNRWA
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $2.1M · Liquidity $46.5K
Xi Jinping
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.5M · Liquidity $75.9K
Greta Thunberg
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.5M · Liquidity $69.4K
Charlie Kirk
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $99.6K
Ahmed al-Sharaa
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $73.1K
Elon Musk
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $126.8K
Mohammed bin Salman
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $119.4K
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.1M · Liquidity $72.8K
Vladimir Putin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $956K · Liquidity $121.9K
International Court of Justice
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $919.3K · Liquidity $35.8K
Khaled Mashal
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $909.6K · Liquidity $88.8K
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $866.3K · Liquidity $86.7K
Julian Assange
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $859.5K · Liquidity $49.4K
Pope Leo XIV
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $856.3K · Liquidity $76K
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $804.7K · Liquidity $98.5K
Benjamin Netanyahu
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $755.7K · Liquidity $91.1K
Narendra Modi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $692.8K · Liquidity $100K
António Guterres
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $644.1K · Liquidity $49.8K
Yulia Navalnaya
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $335K · Liquidity $60.1K
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $46K · Liquidity $23.9K
Save the Children
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $19.7K · Liquidity $9.8K
Chow Hang-tung
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $17.3K · Liquidity $10.5K
Reporters Without Borders
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $11K · Liquidity $6.7K
Sara Al-Saqqa
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $10K · Liquidity $3.1K
Hussam Abu Safiya
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $3.6K
Committee to Protect Journalists
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $5.8K
UNHCR
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $2.6K
World Central Kitchen
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $6.4K
ICRC
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $3.7K
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $5.2K
Mark Carney
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $17.5K
Person AP
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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