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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Markets

  • No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $13.1K · Liquidity $364.9K

  • Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $299.2K

  • Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $300.2K

  • No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $634.3 · Liquidity $306.5K

Resolution rules

The rules for this market are this:

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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