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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Markets

  • No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $410.3K

  • Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $6.3K · Liquidity $304.1K

  • No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $330.2K

  • Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $335.3K

Resolution rules

The rules for this market are this:

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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