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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Markets

  • Iran Reconstruction Funding

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $328.6K · Liquidity $34.9K

  • ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

    • Yes16%
    • No85%

    Volume $212.2K · Liquidity $33.3K

  • Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $210.6K · Liquidity $51.9K

  • 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $184.5K · Liquidity $31.6K

  • Dilution of Iran's Uranium

    • Yes18%
    • No83%

    Volume $175.6K · Liquidity $30K

  • Enriched Uranium Surrender

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $78.2K · Liquidity $52K

Resolution rules

Rules

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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