Economy Prediction Markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 84%
24h vol $524.9K · Ends Oct 29, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $95: 65%
24h vol $221.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 86%
24h vol $109.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 84%
24h vol $50.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
September Inflation US - Annual
3.7%: 43%
24h vol $41.8K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 74%
24h vol $40.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $33.2K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 19%
24h vol $26.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $26.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $22.8K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No: 94%
24h vol $22.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$1.75T–$2.0T: 20%
24h vol $18.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$2.0–$2.25T: 30%
24h vol $18.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 62%
24h vol $15.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Core CPI MoM - September 2026
0.2%: 49%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $175: 96%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Anthropic: 52%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends Jan 2, 2027
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $4,100: 63%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 96%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
2026 World GDP Growth
3.0%: 29%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends May 1, 2027
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
No: 58%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends Oct 13, 2026
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 2026: 55%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 94%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends Jan 5, 2027
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $4,150: 77%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.75–$2.00T: 37%
24h vol $7.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 48%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $60: 74%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 12?
Down: 59%
24h vol $7K · Ends Oct 12, 2026
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 90%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Nov 5, 2026
What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $115: 76%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $207: 91%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $95: 41%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $60: 85%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $382.50: 89%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $780: 96%
24h vol $5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in October 2026?
↑ $185: 86%
24h vol $5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic: 73%
24h vol $5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $336: 87%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
OpenAI IPO by...?
June 30, 2027: 38%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?
↓ 102.00: 85%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 83%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 69%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jan 21, 2027
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 92%
24h vol $4.4K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Jan 28, 2027
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $4K · Ends Jan 29, 2028
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 54%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 91%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Feb 13, 2027
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
43.0 to 45.9: 51%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Oct 23, 2026