University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
Markets
46.0 to 48.9
- Yes25%
- No76%
Volume $331.9 · Liquidity $632.2
52.0 to 54.9
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $240 · Liquidity $804.9
40.0 to 42.9
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $220.8 · Liquidity $563.2
55.0+
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $167.5 · Liquidity $705.5
43.0 to 45.9
- Yes24%
- No77%
Volume $129.1 · Liquidity $1.3K
<40.0
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $110.1 · Liquidity $482.6
49.0 to 51.9
- Yes19%
- No82%
Volume $86.1 · Liquidity $677
Resolution rules
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for October 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for October 2026 ( currently scheduled to be released on October 23, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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