Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
Markets
<-0.2%
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $270.4 · Liquidity $150.8
-0.2 to -0.1%
- Yes22%
- No79%
Volume $207.5 · Liquidity $177.8
0.0 to 0.1%
- Yes32%
- No69%
Volume $203.8 · Liquidity $420.9
0.4 to 0.5%
- Yes16%
- No85%
Volume $130.4 · Liquidity $154.3
0.6%+
- Yes19%
- No82%
Volume $109.6 · Liquidity $210.1
0.2 to 0.3%
- Yes19%
- No82%
Volume $107.9 · Liquidity $198.3
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending August 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for August 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see:
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 88%
24h vol $38.8K · Ends Oct 30, 2026

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 73%
24h vol $694.4 · Ends Oct 30, 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 73%
24h vol $1.9M · Ends Oct 29, 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 67%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends Oct 28, 2026

Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 80%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Nov 5, 2026

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 62%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

September Inflation US - Annual
3.6%: 48%
24h vol $2K · Ends Oct 15, 2026

September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 46%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Oct 15, 2026

How many jobs added in September?
100k to 150k: 38%
24h vol $721.6 · Ends Oct 3, 2026

September Unemployment Rate
4.1%: 37%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Oct 2, 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 70%
24h vol $70.3K · Ends Dec 10, 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
25 bps increase: 81%
24h vol $724.3 · Ends Dec 17, 2026

