September Unemployment Rate
Markets
4.1%
- Yes37%
- No64%
Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $1.7K
4.2%
- Yes31%
- No70%
Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $1.7K
4.0%
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $1.7K
4.3%
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.1K
≤3.8%
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.7K
4.4%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.8K
≥4.6%
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $2.4K
4.5%
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.8K
3.9%
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.8K
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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