Economy Prediction Markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 81%
24h vol $1.2M · Ends Oct 29, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $95: 81%
24h vol $216.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 78%
24h vol $91.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$2.0–$2.25T: 27%
24h vol $63.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $63.1K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 64%
24h vol $49.7K · Ends Jan 28, 2027
September Inflation US - Annual
3.7%: 42%
24h vol $47.9K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 94%
24h vol $33K · Ends Jan 5, 2027
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $95: 69%
24h vol $29.8K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 72%
24h vol $28.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $27K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 92%
24h vol $25.2K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 73%
24h vol $23.8K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 93%
24h vol $20.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 79%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends Nov 4, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 86%
24h vol $20K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $4,200: 85%
24h vol $19.4K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 62%
24h vol $16.2K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $170: 86%
24h vol $15.8K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
24h vol $15K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $4,150: 83%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
280M: 68%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends Nov 12, 2026
Core CPI MoM - September 2026
0.2%: 50%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 77%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $3.10: 73%
24h vol $10.9K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$1.75T–$2.0T: 21%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $375: 87%
24h vol $10.1K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
↑ $760: 79%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $60: 93%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No: 95%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $210: 85%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor?
84% to 85%: 38%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $224: 82%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $780: 79%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $547.50: 64%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in October 2026?
↓ $175: 88%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $730: 69%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $780: 90%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $105: 84%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
↓ $170: 90%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $344: 71%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $2.00: 57%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in October 2026?
↓ $256: 88%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?
12.5% to 15%: 59%
24h vol $6K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin?
68% to 69%: 43%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in October 2026?
↑ $210: 90%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026