People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
Markets
Decrease
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.4K
No Change
- Yes85%
- No16%
Volume $911.8 · Liquidity $1.4K
Increase
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $306.4 · Liquidity $813.5
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements ( however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 74%
24h vol $113K · Ends Dec 10, 2026

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 65%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Jan 28, 2027

Reserve Bank of India decision in December
No Change: 44%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Dec 4, 2026

How many jobs added in October?
25k to 50k: 27%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Nov 7, 2026

Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 81%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Nov 5, 2026

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
0.2 to 0.3%: 38%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Oct 30, 2026

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
1.3%+: 43%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Oct 30, 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 95%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Oct 30, 2026

Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 82%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Oct 30, 2026

Core PCE YoY - September 2026
3.0%: 34%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Oct 29, 2026

Core PCE MoM - September 2026
0.3%: 29%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends Oct 29, 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 83%
24h vol $557.4K · Ends Oct 29, 2026

