Economy Prediction Markets
Interest rates, inflation, jobs data and macro events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 81%
24h vol $1.7M · Ends Oct 29, 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $158.6K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $95: 100%
24h vol $132K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 87%
24h vol $112.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 67%
24h vol $72.8K · Ends Jan 28, 2027
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 70%
24h vol $64.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$2.0–$2.25T: 27%
24h vol $40.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 79%
24h vol $36.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $4,200: 79%
24h vol $36.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
September Inflation US - Annual
3.6%: 45%
24h vol $33.8K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $31.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 91%
24h vol $28.6K · Ends Oct 30, 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 94%
24h vol $27.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 93%
24h vol $18.4K · Ends Jan 5, 2027
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $95: 100%
24h vol $15.2K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $168: 91%
24h vol $14K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $780: 90%
24h vol $13.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 18%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 61%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 54%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $4,200: 60%
24h vol $10.2K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $780: 77%
24h vol $10K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?
$150-$155: 31%
24h vol $10K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 2026: 59%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.20%: 35%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $60: 84%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $167: 84%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $9K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 79%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $3.40: 67%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of October 12 above___?
$202: 77%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on October 14?
$345: 94%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Oct 14, 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
↑ $780: 83%
24h vol $8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 65%
24h vol $8K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $960: 86%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic: 72%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 88%
24h vol $7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $770: 78%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $232: 69%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 14?
$710: 94%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Oct 14, 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 80%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Nov 4, 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
3.0 - 3.5M: 28%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Core CPI MoM - September 2026
0.2%: 51%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Oct 28, 2026
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Oct 24, 2026
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?
<$397K: 41%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jan 11, 2027
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4%: 39%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Jan 19, 2027