Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
340-359: 62%
24h vol $449.5K · Ends Oct 20, 2026

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
40-60M: 76%
24h vol $203.1K · Ends Oct 23, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
240-259: 23%
24h vol $169.1K · Ends Oct 23, 2026

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 5%
24h vol $137.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?
40-64: 44%
24h vol $55.4K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 62%
24h vol $30.7K · Ends Apr 1, 2027

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)
160-170M: 43%
24h vol $25.9K · Ends Oct 24, 2026

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?
Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times: 87%
24h vol $24.2K · Ends Oct 19, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
24h vol $18.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $16.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen: 37%
24h vol $13.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film Z: 50%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 56%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 20)
Love Is Blind: Boston: 98%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
220-239: 13%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends Oct 27, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
The Odyssey: 85%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 93%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

#2 Spotify Song 2026
Babydoll – Dominic Fike: 89%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
The Odyssey: 91%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 81%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends Mar 2, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 93%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026
Erling Braut Haaland: 85%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations
God is Shy: 68%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

#2 US Spotify Song 2026
Man I Need – Olivia Dean: 69%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 23)
Housewife - Tate McRae: 96%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Oct 23, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor G: 50%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations
Dune: Part Three: 91%
24h vol $4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 93%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 45%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in October?
↑26M: 2%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
NAZA: 87%
24h vol $3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny: 86%
24h vol $3K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

Top Spotify Song 2026
End of Beginning – Djo: 83%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Kaitlan Collins: 85%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
No: 56%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Top US Spotify Artist 2026
Drake: 88%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
120M+: 100%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Dec 1, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations
The Black Ball: 80%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
Wild Horse Nine: 92%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
Movie V: 50%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027

Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms: 76%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Dec 31, 2026

#2 Spotify Artist in October?
Rihanna: 68%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
The Odyssey: 88%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner
Placeholder t - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

"Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office
8m-10m: 27%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations
La Nieve - The Black Ball: 90%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Mar 15, 2027

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 93%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

