Culture Prediction Markets
Awards, entertainment and pop-culture moments.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
240-259: 35%
24h vol $495.5K · Ends Oct 16, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?
65-89: 64%
24h vol $296.2K · Ends Oct 14, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $236.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
220-239: 14%
24h vol $139.8K · Ends Oct 20, 2026
# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
50–55M: 64%
24h vol $31.1K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
220-239: 16%
24h vol $29.3K · Ends Oct 23, 2026
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 69%
24h vol $19.9K · Ends Aug 1, 2027
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 94%
24h vol $15.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
# of views of MrBeast gaming video on day 4?
43-44M: 65%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends Oct 15, 2026
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
25-30m: 45%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?
40-64: 44%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 2?
270-280M: 59%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey: 56%
24h vol $7.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
#1 Spotify song this week? (October 16)
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky: 98%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 37%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
December 31: 87%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 56%
24h vol $6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 94%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor Y: 50%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 72%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes: 89%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
"Wildwood" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
85+: 97%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends Oct 26, 2026
#2 Spotify Artist in October?
The Weeknd: 69%
24h vol $4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 69%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Mar 2, 2027
"Godzilla Minus Zero" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
70+: 99%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Nov 9, 2026
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?
Yes: 61%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m+: 69%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Oct 18, 2026
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Jon Ossoff: 97%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny: 87%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey: 84%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
Travis Scott: 49%
24h vol $3K · Ends Jan 2, 2027
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 84%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
30-35M: 28%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 63%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
Dolly Parton: 54%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Apr 1, 2027
#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 16)
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley: 99%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Oct 17, 2026
#2 Spotify Song 2026
Babydoll – Dominic Fike: 76%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
Lindsay Clancy: 80%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
No: 88%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Movie Z: 50%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2028: 31%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2029
"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?
90+: 96%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
110-120M: 28%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Dec 1, 2026
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $2K · Ends Nov 20, 2026
#2 US Spotify Song 2026
Earrings – Malcom Todd: 72%
24h vol $2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani: 28%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026