Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
Markets
December 31, 2027
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $14.7K · Liquidity $7.4K
December 31, 2026
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $8.2K · Liquidity $5.9K
December 31, 2028
- Yes31%
- No70%
Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $4.2K
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Culture markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $236.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 69%
24h vol $19.9K · Ends Aug 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The Odyssey: 56%
24h vol $7.2K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Actor Y: 50%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey: 84%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Movie Z: 50%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

TIME Person of the Year 2026
Zohran Mamdani: 28%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends Jul 1, 2027

Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 56%
24h vol $6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 63%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Apr 1, 2027

#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
Dolly Parton: 54%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Apr 1, 2027

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 69%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Mar 2, 2027

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 72%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Feb 1, 2027

