Skip to content
ThePolyAcademy
ES
Beginner

Beginner Track

A five-lesson introduction covering how prices work, implied probability, YES/NO shares, liquidity, and resolution on prediction markets.

Start the course

Final quiz

Answer every question. You need 80% to earn the badge.

  1. 1. If a YES share trades at 42¢ and it resolves YES, what is the profit per share?
  2. 2. A YES share priced at 25¢ roughly implies what probability?
  3. 3. If YES trades at 68¢, where would NO roughly trade, before fees?
  4. 4. What problem is most likely in a market with thin liquidity?
  5. 5. What happens to a market's price before it is officially resolved?