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When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • No release by November 1

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $141K · Liquidity $13.6K

  • October 12–October 18

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $49K · Liquidity $6K

  • September 28–October 4

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $30K · Liquidity —

  • October 5–October 11

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $28.7K · Liquidity $0

  • October 19–October 25

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $19.1K · Liquidity $4.5K

  • October 26–November 1

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $11.5K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • September 21–September 27

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity —

  • September 7–September 13

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity —

  • Prior to August 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $778.7 · Liquidity —

  • September 14–September 20

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $754.2 · Liquidity —

  • August 31–September 6

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $513.7 · Liquidity —

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse