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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • August 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $347.2K · Liquidity —

  • August 14

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $246K · Liquidity —

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $207.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 31

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $164.2K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • August 7

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $148.8K · Liquidity —

  • August 21

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $127.4K · Liquidity —

  • July 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $92.5K · Liquidity —

  • June 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $57.3K · Liquidity —

  • October 15

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $44.1K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • October 9

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $21.7K · Liquidity —

  • June 26

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $19.7K · Liquidity —

  • July 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.8K · Liquidity —

  • July 17

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.5K · Liquidity —

  • July 24

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.3K · Liquidity —

  • July 10

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.2K · Liquidity —

  • June 12

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $16.5K · Liquidity —

  • June 19

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $13.7K · Liquidity —

  • September 15

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $12.6K · Liquidity —

  • October 23

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $12.2K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • November 30

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $605.6

  • December 31

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $685.8

  • July 3

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity —

  • July 29

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity —

  • July 28

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity —

  • June 5

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity —

  • July 27

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity —

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse

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