Gemini 4.0 released by...?
{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $644.2K · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $243.5K · Liquidity $12.4K
October 15
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volume $207.3K · Liquidity $5.3K
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $92.2K · Liquidity $0
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $61.7K · Liquidity —
November 30
- Yes98%
- No2%
Volume $54K · Liquidity $9K
October 10
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $39.9K · Liquidity —
October 14
- Yes51%
- No50%
Volume $36.4K · Liquidity $1.4K
October 13
- Yes31%
- No70%
Volume $26.2K · Liquidity $1.5K
October 16
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volume $24.8K · Liquidity $3K
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $19.1K · Liquidity —
October 12
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $15.5K · Liquidity $5.3K
October 23
- Yes83%
- No18%
Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $6.3K
September 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.1K · Liquidity —
October 5
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.3K · Liquidity —
October 9
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.8K · Liquidity —
October 2
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity —
Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.
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