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ThePolyAcademy
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Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • No release by October 31

    • Yes89%
    • No12%

    Volume $68.7K · Liquidity $5.4K

  • October 11

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $0

  • October 8

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 9

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity —

  • October 4

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity —

  • October 10

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $0

  • October 6

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity —

  • On or prior to October 1

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity —

  • October 13

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • October 30

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • October 7

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity —

  • October 27

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • October 26

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $925.9

  • October 17

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $760.3

  • October 31

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • October 23

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • October 25

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $984.7 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • October 28

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $860.1 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • October 20

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $831.9 · Liquidity $1.9K

  • October 15

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $798.3 · Liquidity $885.5

  • October 14

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $760.1 · Liquidity $973.7

  • October 21

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $711.1 · Liquidity $841.9

  • October 12

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $693.5 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • October 29

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $691.6 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • October 22

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $555.2 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • October 16

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $499.6 · Liquidity $743.9

  • October 5

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $459.1 · Liquidity $0

  • October 18

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $456.1 · Liquidity $917

  • October 3

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $430.4 · Liquidity —

  • October 24

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $378.4 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • October 19

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $283.4 · Liquidity $1.5K

  • October 2

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $252.4 · Liquidity —

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse

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