Verden Prediction Markets
Geopolitik og globale begivenheder.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 82%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 18. apr. 2027
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027
El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place
Party A: 50%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1. mar. 2027
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
No: 88%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 1. jan. 2027
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Candidate I: 50%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 18. apr. 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person S: 50%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1. mar. 2027
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Other: 50%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 18. apr. 2027
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 60%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1. jan. 2027
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 82%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 29. nov. 2026
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
No: 86%
24h vol $2K · Ends 1. jan. 2027
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 1. jan. 2027
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 20. okt. 2026
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 11. jan. 2027
Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?
6-7%: 39%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 27. okt. 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes: 80%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 31. dec. 2026
New pandemic in 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027
Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?
7-8: 74%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 27. okt. 2026