Verden Prediction Markets
Geopolitik og globale begivenheder.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.

Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 42%
24h vol $596.6K · Ends 19. apr. 2027

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $397.2K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 46%
24h vol $283.8K · Ends 28. okt. 2026

Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $188.6K · Ends 26. okt. 2026

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $157K · Ends 26. okt. 2026

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 26%
24h vol $141.7K · Ends 3. jan. 2027

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $126.8K · Ends 31. dec. 2026

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
24h vol $77K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $66.3K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $65K · Ends 1. jul. 2027

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $45.2K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $40.6K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $33.7K · Ends 31. dec. 2026

Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $28.8K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $26.2K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $21.9K · Ends 1. jul. 2027

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 22%
24h vol $20.6K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 79%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends 4. nov. 2026

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 78%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $15.3K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $14.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 83%
24h vol $12.8K · Ends 1. jan. 2028

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No: 73%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 13: 100%
24h vol $12K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 35%
24h vol $11.5K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person L: 50%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 1. mar. 2027

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends 31. dec. 2026

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Other: 50%
24h vol $9.8K · Ends 1. mar. 2027

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends 26. okt. 2026

Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
4+: 45%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 80%
24h vol $8K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $7.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 35%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 62%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 1. jan. 2028

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 27%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 31. dec. 2026

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 61%
24h vol $6K · Ends 20. okt. 2026

Spain General Election Winner
PP: 86%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends 30. nov. 2026

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Yes: 57%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
No: 97%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person Y: 50%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 1. mar. 2027

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Donald Trump: 9%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends 1. apr. 2028

Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends 26. okt. 2026

