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Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

{name}: liveodds

  • 50%+

    • Yes39%
    • No62%

    Volume $33.9K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • 45%+

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $33.3K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 55%+

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $15.3K · Liquidity $723.7

  • 60%+

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $12.8K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 65%+

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $971.8

Regler for afgørelse

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Sådan læser du disse odds

Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.

Sandsynlighedsberegnere · Ordliste · Gratis kurser