Gå til indhold

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

{name}: liveodds

  • December 31

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $41.1M · Liquidity $617.3K

  • June 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $11.2M · Liquidity —

  • May 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $8.7M · Liquidity —

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.2M · Liquidity —

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.9M · Liquidity —

  • April 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.9M · Liquidity —

  • October 31

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $651.1K · Liquidity $49.2K

Regler for afgørelse

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Sådan læser du disse odds

Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.

Sandsynlighedsberegnere · Ordliste · Gratis kurser