Gå til indhold
ThePolyAcademy
DA

Who will be arrested before 2027?

{name}: liveodds

  • Anthony Fauci

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $199.3K · Liquidity $33.7K

  • Tom Homan

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $48.1K · Liquidity $11.9K

  • Gavin Newsom

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $42.7K · Liquidity $27.3K

  • Hillary Clinton

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $36.5K · Liquidity $72.4K

  • John Brennan

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $34.4K · Liquidity $12.9K

  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $31.5K · Liquidity $21.3K

  • Barack Obama

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $30.8K · Liquidity $58.6K

  • James Comey

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $20.7K · Liquidity $16K

  • Adam Schiff

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $18.9K · Liquidity $23.7K

  • James Clapper

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $16.5K

  • Joe Biden

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $35K

  • Letitia James

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $20.4K

  • Loretta Lynch

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $38.1K

  • Benjamin Netanyahu

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $21.8K

  • Bill Clinton

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $56.4K

  • Mahmoud Khalil

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $250.2

  • Lisa Cook

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $12.4K

  • Brandon Johnson

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $15.9K

  • Pam Bondi

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $17.8K

  • Susan Rice

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $18.7K

  • Lee Jun-seok

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $602.3

  • Kash Patel

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $626.6 · Liquidity $12.4K

  • John Kerry

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $503.5 · Liquidity $29.3K

  • Candace Owens

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $342.3 · Liquidity $351.3

Regler for afgørelse

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sådan læser du disse odds

Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.

Sandsynlighedsberegnere · Ordliste · Gratis kurser

Flere markeder om Politik