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Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

{name}: liveodds

  • AUR

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $18.3K · Liquidity $12K

  • PSD

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $9K · Liquidity $196.8

  • PNL

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $11.3K

  • USR

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $7.5K · Liquidity $11.9K

  • UDMR

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $6.9K · Liquidity $990.4

  • SOS

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $11.8K

Regler for afgørelse

The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the composition of the next governing coalition is not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Romania.

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Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.

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