What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
{name}: liveodds
Iran Reconstruction Funding
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $341.1K · Liquidity $50.2K
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $267.1K · Liquidity $46.1K
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $223K · Liquidity $32.4K
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $189.6K · Liquidity $47.6K
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $186.4K · Liquidity $39.2K
Enriched Uranium Surrender
- Yes5%
- No96%
Volume $79.2K · Liquidity $57.8K
Regler for afgørelse
Rules
Sådan læser du disse odds
Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.
Flere markeder om Politik

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 67%
24h vol $314.4K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $174K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 87%
24h vol $117.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Steve Witkoff: 42%
24h vol $46.2K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31: 16%
24h vol $42.4K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 18%
24h vol $36.3K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31: 37%
24h vol $27.5K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Houthis enter Aden by...?
December 31: 22%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 31: 25%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31: 5%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 42%
24h vol $13.3K · Ends 31. dec. 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 95%
24h vol $17.2K · Ends 1. dec. 2026

