Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by...?
{name}: liveodds
October 21
- Yes78%
- No22%
Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $2.5K
October 24
- Yes85%
- No15%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $2.1K
October 31
- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $10.8K
Regler for afgørelse
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Marseille time), passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect in any part of the City of Marseille, France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A calendar day passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Marseille time on that day, a ban on public gatherings is in effect in any part of the City of Marseille. The City of Marseille refers to the municipality (commune) of Marseille, within its official municipal boundaries. A ban on public gatherings refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits gatherings or demonstrations in public spaces in the City of Marseille, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A ban of any scope will count, whether citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of the City of Marseille, and must be officially declared by the City of Marseille, the Bouches-du-Rhône Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police des Bouches-du-Rhône), or a French national authority. A broader ban (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will count so long as it applies to at least part of the City of Marseille. Orders that prohibit or restrict only one or more specific, identified demonstrations, marches, or events (rather than gatherings or demonstrations generally) will not be considered bans on public gatherings for the purposes of this market, including where such an order applies across a defined area or the entire city. Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, and conditional or prospective statements that a ban may be imposed will not be considered bans on public gatherings for the purposes of this market. Closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not be considered bans on public gatherings unless they also impose a ban as defined above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sådan læser du disse odds
Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.
Flere markeder om Politik

France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $109.1K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
24h vol $254.4K · Ends 19. apr. 2027

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen: 91%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends 19. apr. 2027

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 22: 95%
24h vol $832.6K · Ends 31. okt. 2026

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
October 21: 99%
24h vol $47.4K · Ends 31. okt. 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $49.4K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
↓ 7%: 36%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47: 40%
24h vol $32.4K · Ends 3. nov. 2026

New York Attorney General Election Winner
Letitia James (D): 92%
24h vol $18.1K · Ends 3. nov. 2026

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 64%
24h vol $730.1K · Ends 4. nov. 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 92%
24h vol $352.4K · Ends 4. nov. 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 64%
24h vol $265.5K · Ends 4. nov. 2026

