Økonomi Prediction Markets
Renter, inflation, jobtal og makrobegivenheder.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 68%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends 21. jan. 2027
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 54%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 28. okt. 2026
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 29. jan. 2028
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 91%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 13. feb. 2027
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
43.0 to 45.9: 51%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 23. okt. 2026
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?
30M+: 91%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1. dec. 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 16%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1. jan. 2027
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 61%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1. jan. 2027
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 88%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1. nov. 2026
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2K · Ends 31. dec. 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 28. okt. 2026
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 30%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 3. nov. 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 54%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 1. nov. 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
3.0 - 3.5M: 28%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 31. dec. 2026
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 55%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 15. okt. 2026
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 90%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 5. nov. 2026
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 18. dec. 2026
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 6. nov. 2026
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 30. okt. 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 75%
24h vol $981 · Ends 5. nov. 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 93%
24h vol $932.3 · Ends 1. nov. 2026
Bank of Israel Decision in October?
No Change: 88%
24h vol $907.2 · Ends 21. okt. 2026
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
$407K - $411K: 20%
24h vol $876.2 · Ends 11. jan. 2027
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
-0.3% to -0.1%: 27%
24h vol $846.9 · Ends 2. dec. 2026
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 42%
24h vol $842.1 · Ends 15. okt. 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 65%
24h vol $824.3 · Ends 1. nov. 2026
Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
0.2 to 0.3%: 44%
24h vol $779.2 · Ends 30. okt. 2026
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $770.5 · Ends 1. jan. 2027
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No: 98%
24h vol $741 · Ends 1. jan. 2027
Reserve Bank of India decision in December
25 bps increase: 68%
24h vol $727.8 · Ends 4. dec. 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 68%
24h vol $667.3 · Ends 1. nov. 2026
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
2.5-3.0%: 27%
24h vol $648.2 · Ends 30. okt. 2026
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 63%
24h vol $630.7 · Ends 27. jan. 2027