Fed rate cut by...?
{name}: liveodds
June Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $785K · Liquidity —
September 2026 Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $645.1K · Liquidity —
January Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $588.1K · Liquidity —
July Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $579.1K · Liquidity —
April Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $543K · Liquidity —
December 2026 Meeting
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $407.2K · Liquidity $59.2K
October 2026 Meeting
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $214.8K · Liquidity $93.9K
January 2027 Meeting
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $27.7K
March 2027 Meeting
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $13.8K
July 2027 Meeting
- Yes54%
- No47%
Volume $114.9 · Liquidity $6.1K
April 2027 Meeting
- Yes33%
- No68%
Volume $50 · Liquidity $6.8K
June 2027 Meeting
- Yes37%
- No64%
Volume $27.3 · Liquidity $4.9K
March Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Regler for afgørelse
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve ( however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sådan læser du disse odds
Hver pris ligger mellem 0 og 1 dollar og kan læses som den sandsynlighed, markedet tillægger et udfald: 0,62 dollar svarer til cirka 62 %. Priserne ændrer sig med hver handel, så de afspejler markedsdeltagernes samlede vurdering – ikke en garanti. Før du handler, bør du tjekke reglerne for afgørelse ovenfor, handelsvolumen og likviditeten. Risikér kun penge, du har råd til at tabe.
Flere markeder om Økonomi

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 63%
24h vol $41.3K · Ends 28. jan. 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $23.4K · Ends 1. jan. 2027

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 78%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 31. dec. 2026

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 31. dec. 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $46.9K · Ends 10. dec. 2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 78%
24h vol $13.3K · Ends 10. dec. 2026

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 70%
24h vol $26.2K · Ends 10. dec. 2026

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 66%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends 9. dec. 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 58%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 1. nov. 2026

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 71%
24h vol $988.1 · Ends 1. nov. 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 83%
24h vol $382.9K · Ends 29. okt. 2026

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 54%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 28. okt. 2026

