Världen Prediction Markets
Geopolitik och globala händelser.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Varje pris ligger mellan 0 och 1 dollar och kan tolkas som den sannolikhet marknaden tillskriver ett utfall: 0,62 dollar motsvarar ungefär 62 %. Priserna ändras vid varje affär, så de speglar marknadsdeltagarnas samlade bedömning och är ingen garanti. Innan du handlar bör du kontrollera reglerna ovan för hur utfallet avgörs, handelsvolymen och likviditeten. Riskera bara pengar du har råd att förlora.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 41%
24h vol $624K · Ends 19 apr. 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 82%
24h vol $462.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 45%
24h vol $294.6K · Ends 28 okt. 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $256.7K · Ends 26 okt. 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $148.7K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 27%
24h vol $146.4K · Ends 3 jan. 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
24h vol $86.1K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $85.9K · Ends 26 okt. 2026
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $66.1K · Ends 1 juli 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $45.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 40%
24h vol $44.4K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $42.8K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $39.9K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $29.8K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $29.1K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $26.9K · Ends 1 juli 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 89%
24h vol $20.6K · Ends 26 okt. 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 78%
24h vol $20.5K · Ends 4 nov. 2026
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $20.5K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $19.3K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 23%
24h vol $19.2K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 35%
24h vol $16.4K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $16K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No: 73%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 83%
24h vol $13.1K · Ends 1 jan. 2028
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 80%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $12.1K · Ends 20 okt. 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 13: 94%
24h vol $11K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends 26 okt. 2026
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 36%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 31 dec. 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person I: 50%
24h vol $8.7K · Ends 1 mars 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Other: 50%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends 1 mars 2027
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 80%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
24h vol $7K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 62%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 1 jan. 2028
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 30 nov. 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person F: 50%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends 1 mars 2027
New pandemic in 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person W: 50%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1 mars 2027
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 60%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Yes: 63%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 67%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 20 okt. 2026
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Yashar: 56%
24h vol $3K · Ends 30 juni 2027