Hoppa till innehållet
ThePolyAcademy
SV

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

{name}: odds i realtid

  • December 31, 2026

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $2.3M · Liquidity $108.5K

  • September 30, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $392.4K · Liquidity —

  • October 31, 2026

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $145.7K · Liquidity $53K

  • November 30, 2026

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $12.5K · Liquidity $52.8K

  • December 31, 2027

    • Yes46%
    • No55%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $34.6K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $35.8K

  • March 31, 2027

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $20.9K

Regler för hur utfallet avgörs

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Så tolkar du oddsen

Varje pris ligger mellan 0 och 1 dollar och kan tolkas som den sannolikhet marknaden tillskriver ett utfall: 0,62 dollar motsvarar ungefär 62 %. Priserna ändras vid varje affär, så de speglar marknadsdeltagarnas samlade bedömning och är ingen garanti. Innan du handlar bör du kontrollera reglerna ovan för hur utfallet avgörs, handelsvolymen och likviditeten. Riskera bara pengar du har råd att förlora.

Sannolikhetskalkylatorer · Ordlista · Gratis kurser

Fler marknader om Politik