Iran leader end of 2026?
{name}: odds i realtid
Mojtaba Khamenei
- Yes88%
- No12%
Volume $6.7M · Liquidity $62.3K
Mohammad Khatami
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.2M · Liquidity $54.6K
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.7M · Liquidity $65.4K
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.4M · Liquidity $64.2K
Hassan Shariatmadari
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.2M · Liquidity $68.3K
Alireza Arafi
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.3M · Liquidity $68.8K
Hassan Khomeini
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.5M · Liquidity $67.4K
No Head of State
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $88.5K
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.1M · Liquidity $57.3K
Masoud Pezeshkian
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1M · Liquidity $56.3K
Hassan Rouhani
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $950.2K · Liquidity $65.2K
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $927.2K · Liquidity $58.8K
Maryam Rajavi
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $906.3K · Liquidity $57.5K
Ali Motahari
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $860.2K · Liquidity $60.1K
Abbas Araghchi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $837.7K · Liquidity $67K
Ahmad Vahidi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $785.3K · Liquidity $55.8K
Reza Pahlavi
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $698.5K · Liquidity $121.7K
Sadegh Larijani
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $577.3K · Liquidity $72K
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $473.8K · Liquidity $65.7K
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $442.6K · Liquidity $81K
Massoud Rajavi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $436.6K · Liquidity $85.3K
Saeed Jalili
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $425K · Liquidity $73.6K
Ali Asghar Hejazi
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $378.3K · Liquidity $74.2K
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $332.5K · Liquidity $68.5K
Mohsen Araki
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $324.8K · Liquidity $75.4K
Nasir Hosseini
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $300.6K · Liquidity $71.1K
Sadegh Mahsouli
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $275.6K · Liquidity $74.2K
Navid Shomali
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $259.8K · Liquidity $82.7K
Mustafa Hijri
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $238.8K · Liquidity $67.1K
Ali Larijani
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $236.9K · Liquidity —
Reza Pirzadeh
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $187.8K · Liquidity $82.2K
ct
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bt
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ca
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o
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p
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q
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r
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at
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w
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aa
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ab
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ac
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ag
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ah
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ai
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aj
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cp
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u
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v
- Yes—
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ak
- Yes—
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ao
- Yes—
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ap
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ax
- Yes—
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ay
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ck
- Yes—
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bq
- Yes—
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cx
- Yes—
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ad
- Yes—
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ae
- Yes—
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af
- Yes—
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aq
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ar
- Yes—
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as
- Yes—
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bu
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bv
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bx
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by
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bz
- Yes—
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Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Mohammad Pakpour
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
bc
- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
bd
- Yes—
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be
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bg
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bh
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s
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t
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al
- Yes—
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am
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an
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au
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av
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aw
- Yes—
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az
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ba
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bb
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bi
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bj
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bk
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bo
- Yes—
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bp
- Yes—
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cb
- Yes—
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cc
- Yes—
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cd
- Yes—
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ce
- Yes—
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cf
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ci
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cj
- Yes—
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cm
- Yes—
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co
- Yes—
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cu
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cv
- Yes—
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cw
- Yes—
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cy
- Yes—
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cz
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Regler för hur utfallet avgörs
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Så tolkar du oddsen
Varje pris ligger mellan 0 och 1 dollar och kan tolkas som den sannolikhet marknaden tillskriver ett utfall: 0,62 dollar motsvarar ungefär 62 %. Priserna ändras vid varje affär, så de speglar marknadsdeltagarnas samlade bedömning och är ingen garanti. Innan du handlar bör du kontrollera reglerna ovan för hur utfallet avgörs, handelsvolymen och likviditeten. Riskera bara pengar du har råd att förlora.
Fler marknader om Världen

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $159.3K · Ends 31 dec. 2026

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 31 dec. 2026

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $316.4K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 7%
24h vol $41K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $19.3K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 22%
24h vol $18.7K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 35%
24h vol $16.2K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $16K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $8.3K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

Netanyahu out by...?
No: 60%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 1 jan. 2027

