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Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • JD Vance

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $148.1K · Liquidity $10.7K

  • Donald Trump

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $109.4K · Liquidity $6.9K

  • Friedrich Merz

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $85.2K · Liquidity —

  • Mark Rutte

    • Yes35%
    • No66%

    Volume $44.3K · Liquidity $21.8K

  • António Costa

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $38.6K · Liquidity —

  • Jared Kushner

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $31.5K · Liquidity —

  • Keith Kellogg

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $27.4K · Liquidity $0

  • Steve Witkoff

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $23.5K · Liquidity —

  • Andy Burnham

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $17.3K · Liquidity —

  • Donald Tusk

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $17.1K · Liquidity —

  • Mark Carney

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $14.4K · Liquidity $11.9K

  • Ursula von der Leyen

    • Yes40%
    • No61%

    Volume $12.6K · Liquidity $266.2

  • Emmanuel Macron

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $11.6K · Liquidity $12.1K

  • António Guterres

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $9.9K · Liquidity $13.1K

  • Maia Sandu

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $7.7K · Liquidity —

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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