Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
{name}: probabilidades em tempo real
Alibaba
- Yes34%
- No66%
Volume $53.6K · Liquidity $3.1K
Moonshot
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $34.2K · Liquidity $3.9K
Xiaomi
- Yes41%
- No59%
Volume $24.3K · Liquidity $2.5K
Z.ai
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $16K · Liquidity $2.3K
StepFun
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $11.5K · Liquidity $2.4K
ByteDance
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $11.2K · Liquidity $2.4K
DeepSeek
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $10.7K · Liquidity $1.8K
Baidu
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $10.5K · Liquidity $4.1K
Tencent
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $9K · Liquidity $4.8K
MiniMax
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $9K · Liquidity $2.9K
Meituan
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $1.9K
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Company I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Regras de resolução
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Como interpretar essas probabilidades
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.
Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos
Mais mercados de Tecnologia

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 71%
24h vol $38.5K · Ends 31 de out. de 2026

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
Company A: 50%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 31 de out. de 2026

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Google: 70%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 31 de out. de 2026

Gemini Argon released on...?
October 13: 23%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 90%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 19%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
5+: 68%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 90%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
Google: 60%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 20 de out. de 2026

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 30: 98%
24h vol $70.9K · Ends 1 de dez. de 2026

Gemini Argon released by...?
November 30: 94%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1 de dez. de 2026

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google: 43%
24h vol $10.7K · Ends 31 de dez. de 2026

