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When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • No release by November 1

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $141K · Liquidity $13.6K

  • October 12–October 18

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $49K · Liquidity $6K

  • September 28–October 4

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $30K · Liquidity —

  • October 5–October 11

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $28.7K · Liquidity $0

  • October 19–October 25

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $19.1K · Liquidity $4.5K

  • October 26–November 1

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $11.5K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • September 21–September 27

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity —

  • September 7–September 13

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity —

  • Prior to August 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $778.7 · Liquidity —

  • September 14–September 20

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $754.2 · Liquidity —

  • August 31–September 6

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $513.7 · Liquidity —

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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