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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • July 15

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.5M · Liquidity —

  • December 31

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1.1M · Liquidity $36.8K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $105K · Liquidity $38K

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $27K · Liquidity —

  • February 28

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $15.1K · Liquidity —

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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