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Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • Democratic

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $272.7K

  • Republican

    • Yes35%
    • No66%

    Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $464.1K

  • Party A

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party B

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party C

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party D

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party E

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party F

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party G

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party H

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party I

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party J

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party L

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Party K

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Regras de resolução

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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