Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
{name}: probabilidades em tempo real
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $354K · Liquidity $93.4K
Regras de resolução
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Como interpretar essas probabilidades
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.
Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos
Mais mercados de Política

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 60%
24h vol $316.5K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 7%
24h vol $297.8K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 79%
24h vol $102.3K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Next leader out of power before 2027?
Netanyahu - Israel PM: 40%
24h vol $92K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
24h vol $85.7K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes: 97%
24h vol $85.2K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $84.5K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $77.2K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $51.7K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No: 61%
24h vol $43.7K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan: 21%
24h vol $37.9K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $27.7K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

