Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
{name}: probabilidades em tempo real
500+
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $283K · Liquidity $13.7K
280-299
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $253.6K · Liquidity —
300-319
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $195K · Liquidity $24.3K
320-339
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $175K · Liquidity $18.2K
240-259
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $169.8K · Liquidity —
480-499
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $159.3K · Liquidity $24.5K
460-479
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $157.7K · Liquidity $16.4K
440-459
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $151.2K · Liquidity $20K
380-399
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $123.2K · Liquidity $9.4K
260-279
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $121.7K · Liquidity —
400-419
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $121.7K · Liquidity $9.8K
340-359
- Yes61%
- No39%
Volume $120.2K · Liquidity $6.1K
200-219
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $116.1K · Liquidity —
420-439
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $115.3K · Liquidity $16.1K
360-379
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $110.4K · Liquidity $7.7K
180-199
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $107.5K · Liquidity —
220-239
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $102.1K · Liquidity —
160-179
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $70.7K · Liquidity —
120-139
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $69.5K · Liquidity —
100-119
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $52K · Liquidity —
<20
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $49.4K · Liquidity —
140-159
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $48.7K · Liquidity —
80-99
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $34.3K · Liquidity —
20-39
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $29.2K · Liquidity $0
40-59
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $27.2K · Liquidity $0
60-79
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $26.1K · Liquidity —
Regras de resolução
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Como interpretar essas probabilidades
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.
Calculadoras de probabilidade · Glossário · Cursos gratuitos
Mais mercados de Política

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
220-239: 24%
24h vol $96K · Ends 16 de out. de 2026

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
100-119: 34%
24h vol $23.9K · Ends 13 de out. de 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?
40-64: 94%
24h vol $180.2K · Ends 12 de out. de 2026

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
140-159: 22%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 16 de out. de 2026

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia: 62%
24h vol $157.8K · Ends 25 de out. de 2026

Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $274.7K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $57.5K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Aleksandar Vučić: 63%
24h vol $29.2K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
Lula: 79%
24h vol $19.1K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Flavio Bolsonaro: 84%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Lula: 63%
24h vol $6.6K · Ends 26 de out. de 2026

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia Chow: 67%
24h vol $18.3K · Ends 27 de out. de 2026

