Economia Prediction Markets
Juros, inflação, dados de emprego e eventos macro.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 53%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 50%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends 15 de out. de 2026

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 31 de dez. de 2026

Central Bank of Chile decision in October
No change: 93%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 27 de out. de 2026

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99%: 59%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 9 de jan. de 2027

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 56%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 27 de jan. de 2027

China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1 de fev. de 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 65%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 85%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 28 de out. de 2026

Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $2K · Ends 29 de jan. de 2028

Spotify Monthly Active Users above __ in Q3?
770M: 100%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 22 de out. de 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 33%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 3 de nov. de 2026

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 11 de jan. de 2027

US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 73%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 1 de fev. de 2027

October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 6 de nov. de 2026

Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 44%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 15 de out. de 2026

Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 90%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 24 de out. de 2026

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 59%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 53%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 15 de out. de 2026

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.55%: 70%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1 de nov. de 2026

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 31 de dez. de 2026

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 69%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 70%
24h vol $1K · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 53%
24h vol $1K · Ends 9 de dez. de 2026

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 72%
24h vol $982.8 · Ends 21 de out. de 2026

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.50%: 14%
24h vol $969 · Ends 31 de dez. de 2026

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
2.0-2.5%: 27%
24h vol $963.6 · Ends 30 de out. de 2026

Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $875.3 · Ends 18 de dez. de 2026

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 76%
24h vol $864.1 · Ends 5 de nov. de 2026

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 64%
24h vol $852.2 · Ends 1 de jan. de 2027

