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Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • ↑ 6.30%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $29.4K · Liquidity —

  • ↓ 5.70%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $12.4K · Liquidity $807.3

  • ↓ 5.90%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $11.6K · Liquidity $352.2

  • ↓ 6.50%

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $11.6K · Liquidity $377.9

  • ↑ 7.00%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $8K · Liquidity —

  • ↑ 6.50%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $6.9K · Liquidity —

  • ↑ 6.75%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity —

  • ↓ 6.00%

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $522.3

  • ↑ 7.25%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity —

  • ↓ 5.50%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $143.8

  • ↓ 6.25%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $93.2

  • ↑ 7.50%

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $187.8

  • ↓ 6.00%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $672.5 · Liquidity $0

  • ↑ 6.20%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume — · Liquidity —

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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