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ThePolyAcademy
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Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?

{name}: probabilidades em tempo real

  • 40-64

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $4K

  • 65-89

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $793.9 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • <40

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $457.6 · Liquidity $4.1K

  • 215-239

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $319.9 · Liquidity $803.3

  • 90-114

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $289.9 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 240+

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $259.9 · Liquidity $879.4

  • 165-189

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $975.8

  • 190-214

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $906.1

  • 140-164

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $199.9 · Liquidity $749

  • 115-139

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $199.9 · Liquidity $908.2

Regras de resolução

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Como interpretar essas probabilidades

Cada preço varia de US$ 0 a US$ 1 e pode ser interpretado como a probabilidade que o mercado atribui a um resultado: US$ 0,62 significa aproximadamente 62%. Os preços mudam a cada negociação, então representam uma estimativa coletiva, não uma garantia. Antes de negociar, confira as regras de resolução acima, o volume e a liquidez, e arrisque apenas o dinheiro que você pode perder sem comprometer suas finanças.

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