France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
- Yes16%
- No85%
Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $11.9K
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government explicitly claims that the authorities of a foreign country deliberately caused or facilitated the unrest that began in France on October 17, 2026, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Such a claim requires an on-the-record public statement issued by an authorized person or entity representing the French government, speaking in an official capacity, which expressly states that the authorities of a foreign country deliberately caused or facilitated the unrest. A statement from a lawmaker speaking in their own capacity or on behalf of a party not in government will not alone qualify. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. Statements that do not attribute deliberate intent to the authorities of a foreign country (e.g., "foreign actors exploited the unrest to spread disinformation") will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Vairāk tirgu par tēmu “Pasaule”

France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 15%
24h vol $37K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 3%
24h vol $8K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

Macron out by...?
No: 95%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 86%
24h vol $16K · Ends 2027. g. 18. apr.

Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
24h vol $446.2K · Ends 2027. g. 19. apr.

Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2027: 21%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends 2028. g. 1. janv.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
25 bps increase: 55%
24h vol $28.3K · Ends 2026. g. 4. nov.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 16: 84%
24h vol $66.9K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 22: 97%
24h vol $54.2K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $43.7K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
24h vol $108.3K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 21: 99%
24h vol $582.4K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.

