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French Presidential Election First Round Winner

{name}: aktuālās varbūtības

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes82%
    • No19%

    Volume $447.4 · Liquidity $15K

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $273.9 · Liquidity $13.6K

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $229.9 · Liquidity $554.9

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $220.9 · Liquidity $462.8

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $987.1

  • François Hollande

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $916.2

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $10.7K

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $688.6

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $13.5K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $709.5

  • Sarah Knafo

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $849.5

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $948.3

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Sébastien Lecornu

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $173.9 · Liquidity $496.5

  • Christine Lagarde

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $153.9 · Liquidity $422.4

  • Candidate A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (

Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības

Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.

Varbūtību kalkulatori · Terminu vārdnīca · Bezmaksas kursi

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