Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
Kenya
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $19.3K · Liquidity —
Republic of the Congo
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $1.2K
United States
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $11.2K · Liquidity $501.1
South Sudan
- Yes37%
- No64%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $1.1K
Nigeria
- Yes95%
- No6%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $483.6
China
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $113.3
Rwanda
- Yes20%
- No81%
Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $363.3
Canada
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $293.5
Uganda
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $2K · Liquidity —
India
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $868.3 · Liquidity $1.1K
Ethiopia
- Yes14%
- No87%
Volume $584.8 · Liquidity $424.1
Somalia
- Yes38%
- No62%
Volume $539.1 · Liquidity $131.3
Burundi
- Yes18%
- No83%
Volume $312.8 · Liquidity $63.7
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
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