Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
{name}: aktuālās varbūtības
December 31
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $41.1M · Liquidity $617.3K
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $11.2M · Liquidity —
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $8.7M · Liquidity —
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $7.2M · Liquidity —
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.9M · Liquidity —
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.9M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $651.1K · Liquidity $49.2K
Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
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