Kultūra Prediction Markets
Balvas, izklaide un popkultūras mirkļi.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
340-359: 59%
24h vol $493.3K · Ends 2026. g. 13. okt.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 3%
24h vol $270K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.
Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?
40-64: 94%
24h vol $191.8K · Ends 2026. g. 12. okt.
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
220-239: 23%
24h vol $89.4K · Ends 2026. g. 16. okt.
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No: 67%
24h vol $58.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. aug.
# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
55M+: 58%
24h vol $32.1K · Ends 2026. g. 18. okt.
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
240-259: 15%
24h vol $16K · Ends 2026. g. 20. okt.
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 94%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends 2026. g. 31. okt.
Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Jay Z: 66%
24h vol $14.8K · Ends 2027. g. 1. apr.
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 33%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.
Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?
40-64: 47%
24h vol $11K · Ends 2026. g. 14. okt.
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $11K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.
Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026
Lawrence Katz: 37%
24h vol $10.8K · Ends 2026. g. 13. okt.
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
Transgender: 97%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends 2026. g. 12. okt.
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 85%
24h vol $9.1K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 65%
24h vol $9K · Ends 2027. g. 2. marts
# of views of MrBeast gaming video on day 2?
31M+: 99%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 2026. g. 13. okt.
"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
<25m: 68%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 2026. g. 18. okt.
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Barack Obama: 97%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 2026. g. 31. okt.
GTA VI released by...?
November 30: 96%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends 2026. g. 1. dec.
#2 Spotify Artist in October?
The Weeknd: 70%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 2026. g. 31. okt.
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 96%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends 2027. g. 8. janv.
"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m: 66%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 2026. g. 18. okt.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. janv.
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 82%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 2026. g. 31. okt.
Top Spotify Song 2026
End of Beginning – Djo: 78%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends 2027. g. 1. febr.
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 2?
270-280M: 46%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 2026. g. 18. okt.
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey: 84%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.
"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?
90+: 96%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 2026. g. 31. dec.
"The Social Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
40+: 100%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 2026. g. 12. okt.
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 57%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 2027. g. 1. febr.
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 58%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 2027. g. 1. apr.
"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m+: 62%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 2026. g. 18. okt.
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No: 98%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 2027. g. 1. marts
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 2026. g. 20. nov.
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner
Placeholder a - TBD Artist: 50%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $2K · Ends 2026. g. 1. nov.
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18)
Iran: 94%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 2026. g. 19. okt.
Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
Ezra Frech: 56%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 2027. g. 1. apr.
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 24
The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore: 96%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 2026. g. 21. okt.
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day: 59%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 2027. g. 1. febr.
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
John Malkovich: 93%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 2027. g. 15. marts
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball: 75%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. jūl.
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 62%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2027. g. 1. febr.
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 13)
Animals: 98%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2026. g. 13. okt.