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ThePolyAcademy
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Richest person on December 31, 2026?

{name}: aktuālās varbūtības

  • Bernard Arnault

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $369.9K · Liquidity $19.2K

  • Jeff Bezos

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $348.5K · Liquidity $20K

  • Steve Ballmer

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $312.7K · Liquidity $25.3K

  • Elon Musk

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $197.6K · Liquidity $16.9K

  • Jensen Huang

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $181K · Liquidity $26.6K

  • Larry Page

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $153.3K · Liquidity $17.9K

  • Mark Zuckerberg

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $134.1K · Liquidity $23.9K

  • Warren Buffett

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $93K · Liquidity $16.5K

  • Sergey Brin

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $89.2K · Liquidity $17.2K

  • Larry Ellison

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $62.6K · Liquidity $22.1K

  • Michael Dell

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $983.8 · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Person O

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person B

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person C

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person D

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person E

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person F

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person G

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person H

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person I

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person J

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person K

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumi

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index ( If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used ( If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Kā interpretēt šīs varbūtības

Katra cena ir robežās no 0 līdz 1 ASV dolāram, un to var interpretēt kā varbūtību, ko tirgus piešķir konkrētam iznākumam: 0,62 ASV dolāri nozīmē aptuveni 62%. Cenas mainās ar katru darījumu, tāpēc tās atspoguļo tirgus dalībnieku kopējo vērtējumu, nevis garantiju. Pirms tirdzniecības iepazīsties ar iepriekš norādītajiem iznākuma noteikšanas noteikumiem, pārbaudi tirdzniecības apjomu un likviditāti un riskē tikai ar naudu, ko vari atļauties zaudēt.

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