Ekonomika Prediction Markets
Palūkanų normos, infliacija, užimtumo duomenys ir makroekonomikos įvykiai.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.
2026 World GDP Growth
3.1%: 31%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 2027-05-01
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 91%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 2027-02-13
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?
30M+: 91%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 2026-12-01
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 2026-10-28
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 83%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 2026-11-01
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 2027-01-28
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2K · Ends 2026-12-31
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 29%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 2026-11-03
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 62%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 2026-11-01
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
3.0 - 3.5M: 28%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 2026-12-31
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2026-12-10
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 55%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2026-10-15
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
43.0 to 45.9: 51%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 2026-10-23
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 90%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 2026-11-05
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 2026-12-18
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 60%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 2027-01-01
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 2026-11-06
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 2026-10-30
Bank of Israel Decision in October?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 2026-10-21
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 75%
24h vol $981 · Ends 2026-11-05
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 65%
24h vol $930.9 · Ends 2026-11-01
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 93%
24h vol $917.9 · Ends 2026-11-01
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 69%
24h vol $911.2 · Ends 2027-01-01
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
$407K - $411K: 20%
24h vol $856.2 · Ends 2027-01-11
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
-0.3% to -0.1%: 27%
24h vol $846.9 · Ends 2026-12-02
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 42%
24h vol $842.1 · Ends 2026-10-15
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $770.5 · Ends 2027-01-01
Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
0.2 to 0.3%: 44%
24h vol $758.8 · Ends 2026-10-30
Reserve Bank of India decision in December
25 bps increase: 68%
24h vol $727.8 · Ends 2026-12-04
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
2.5-3.0%: 27%
24h vol $688.2 · Ends 2026-10-30
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 63%
24h vol $630.7 · Ends 2027-01-27
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No: 98%
24h vol $618.4 · Ends 2027-01-01
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9%: 57%
24h vol $616.7 · Ends 2027-01-21